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Championship Model Divergence

2026 season · Topside vs Elo rank comparison

Match Predictor
Model

Championship

How to read this table

💡 Results vs. Margins: Elo measures raw wins/losses and opponent difficulty, while Topside heavily weights goal differential. Teams at the top are winning tight, gritty matches against tough opponents. Teams at the bottom are blowing out weaker teams but dropping points in close games.

Team Gap
Stoke
Elo +8
Bristol City
Elo +3
Charlton
Elo +3
Blackburn
Elo +2
Sheffield Utd
Elo +2
Bolton
Elo +1
Middlesbrough
Elo +1
Portsmouth
Elo +1
QPR
Elo +1
Swansea
Elo +1
West Brom
Elo +1
Wolverhampton
Elo +1
Birmingham
Consensus
Derby County
Consensus
Lincoln City
Consensus
Millwall
Consensus
Preston NE
Consensus
Wrexham
Consensus
Cardiff
Topside +1
Watford
Topside +2
Southampton
Topside +4
Burnley
Topside +5
West Ham
Topside +6
Norwich
Topside +7

Tap a row for Topside / Elo ranks & details