European Soccer
← All sports
UEFA Champions League Model Divergence
2026 season · Topside vs Elo rank comparison
UEFA Champions League
How to read this table
💡 Results vs. Margins: Elo measures raw wins/losses and opponent difficulty, while Topside heavily weights goal differential. Teams at the top are winning tight, gritty matches against tough opponents. Teams at the bottom are blowing out weaker teams but dropping points in close games.
| Rank | Team | Gap | Model Gap & Bias | Topside Rank | Elo Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
|
Elo +15 | Elo Favored (+15) | 22 | 7 |
| 2 |
Real Betis
Real Betis Balompié
|
Elo +12 | Elo Favored (+12) | 21 | 9 |
| 3 |
Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe SK
|
Elo +9 | Elo Favored (+9) | 33 | 24 |
| 4 |
Sporting CP
Sporting Clube de Portugal
|
Elo +7 | Elo Favored (+7) | 17 | 10 |
| 5 |
LASK
LASK Linz
|
Elo +6 | Elo Favored (+6) | 29 | 23 |
| 6 |
Lille
Lille OSC
|
Elo +6 | Elo Favored (+6) | 26 | 20 |
| 7 |
Porto
FC Porto
|
Elo +4 | Elo Favored (+4) | 10 | 6 |
| 8 |
Arsenal
Arsenal FC
|
Elo +3 | Elo Favored (+3) | 6 | 3 |
| 9 |
Bodø/Glimt
FK Bodø/Glimt
|
Elo +3 | Elo Favored (+3) | 31 | 28 |
| 10 |
Sabah FK
Sabah FK
|
Elo +3 | Elo Favored (+3) | 35 | 32 |
| 11 |
Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
|
Elo +3 | Elo Favored (+3) | 28 | 25 |
| 12 |
Atleti
Club Atlético de Madrid
|
Elo +2 | Elo Favored (+2) | 15 | 13 |
| 13 |
Feyenoord
Feyenoord Rotterdam
|
Elo +2 | Elo Favored (+2) | 19 | 17 |
| 14 |
Real Madrid
Real Madrid CF
|
Elo +2 | Elo Favored (+2) | 3 | 1 |
| 15 |
PSG
Paris Saint-Germain FC
|
Elo +1 | Elo Favored (+1) | 5 | 4 |
| 16 |
Roma
AS Roma
|
Consensus | Model Consensus (0) | 12 | 12 |
| 17 |
Como 1907
Como 1907
|
Consensus | Model Consensus (0) | 11 | 11 |
| 18 |
Inter
FC Internazionale Milano
|
Consensus | Model Consensus (0) | 8 | 8 |
| 19 |
PAE AEK
PAE AEK
|
Consensus | Model Consensus (0) | 30 | 30 |
| 20 |
Sl. Bratislava
ŠK Slovan Bratislava
|
Consensus | Model Consensus (0) | 36 | 36 |
| 21 |
Barça
FC Barcelona
|
Topside +1 | Topside Favored (+1) | 1 | 2 |
| 22 |
Liverpool
Liverpool FC
|
Topside +1 | Topside Favored (+1) | 14 | 15 |
| 23 |
Slavia Praha
SK Slavia Praha
|
Topside +1 | Topside Favored (+1) | 34 | 35 |
| 24 |
Galatasaray
Galatasaray SK
|
Topside +2 | Topside Favored (+2) | 20 | 22 |
| 25 |
RC Lens
Racing Club de Lens
|
Topside +2 | Topside Favored (+2) | 32 | 34 |
| 26 |
Viking
Viking FK
|
Topside +2 | Topside Favored (+2) | 25 | 27 |
| 27 |
Bayern
FC Bayern München
|
Topside +3 | Topside Favored (+3) | 2 | 5 |
| 28 |
Villarreal
Villarreal CF
|
Topside +4 | Topside Favored (+4) | 27 | 31 |
| 29 |
Aston Villa
Aston Villa FC
|
Topside +5 | Topside Favored (+5) | 13 | 18 |
| 30 |
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
|
Topside +5 | Topside Favored (+5) | 16 | 21 |
| 31 |
Napoli
SSC Napoli
|
Topside +5 | Topside Favored (+5) | 24 | 29 |
| 32 |
Man City
Manchester City FC
|
Topside +7 | Topside Favored (+7) | 7 | 14 |
| 33 |
PSV
PSV
|
Topside +7 | Topside Favored (+7) | 9 | 16 |
| 34 |
Shaktar
FK Shakhtar Donetsk
|
Topside +8 | Topside Favored (+8) | 18 | 26 |
| 35 |
Man United
Manchester United FC
|
Topside +10 | Topside Favored (+10) | 23 | 33 |
| 36 |
Club Brugge
Club Brugge KV
|
Topside +15 | Topside Favored (+15) | 4 | 19 |
Tap a row for Topside / Elo ranks & details