Match Predictor
NFL-only projections using NflEngine Topside & Elo
⚡ Upcoming Fixtures with Greatest Model Variation — NFL AFC South
Ranked by the largest Topside vs. Elo probability gap (biggest disagreement first). Next 10 days · NFL AFC South.
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⚠️ Slight Difference (8% Delta)
TEN vs JAX
Sun, Nov 15 · 18:00 NFL
Both models favor JAX, but Topside gives them 68.7% while Elo gives them 60.6%.
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⚠️ Slight Difference (8% Delta)
NYG vs JAX
Sun, Nov 22 · 18:00 NFL
Both models favor JAX, but Topside gives them 59.0% while Elo gives them 51.3%.
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🚨 Model Flip (Different Winners)
CAR vs BAL
Sun, Nov 22 · 18:00 NFL
Topside backs CAR (50.4%), but Elo backs BAL (49.2%).
Insight: The models are completely split. Topside trusts the recent dominance of CAR, but Elo trusts the historical results of BAL.
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🔒 Total Agreement (3% Delta)
DAL vs TEN
Sun, Nov 22 · 18:00 NFL
Both models favor DAL, but Topside gives them 57.3% while Elo gives them 54.0%.
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🔒 Total Agreement (2% Delta)
ATL vs KC
Sun, Nov 15 · 18:00 NFL
Both models favor KC, but Topside gives them 54.4% while Elo gives them 56.4%.
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🔒 Total Agreement (2% Delta)
CLE vs HOU
Sun, Nov 15 · 18:00 NFL
Both models favor CLE, but Topside gives them 49.7% while Elo gives them 51.5%.
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🚨 Model Flip (Different Winners)
IND vs MIA
Sun, Nov 15 · 18:00 NFL
Topside backs MIA (48.7%), but Elo backs IND (48.7%).
Insight: The models are completely split. Topside trusts the recent dominance of MIA, but Elo trusts the historical results of IND.
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🔒 Total Agreement (1% Delta)
HOU vs IND
Fri, Nov 20 · 01:15 NFL
Both models favor HOU, but Topside gives them 53.0% while Elo gives them 52.2%.
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