TOPSIDE LAX RANKINGS
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NCAAW Topside Rankings

2027 season · ACC · Topside ratings (log-damped MOV, cap 35)

Match Predictor
Conference
Model
Topside
Ratings Elo
Ratings Model
Divergence

How models work

Topside Ratings (Margins & Dominance)
Focuses on scoring margins and margin of victory. It rewards teams that blow out their opponents and severely punishes heavy defeats. An average team sits at a baseline rating of 10.
Elo Ratings (Results & Difficulty)
Focuses purely on official match results and opponent difficulty. It rewards teams for securing wins against tough opponents, even if the matches were incredibly close or ugly. An average team sits at a baseline rating of 1500.
Model Divergence
Highlights the difference between winning close games vs. padding stats. Elo-favored teams are winning tight matchups against good teams. Topside-favored teams have massive scoring margins but may be losing tight matches to top-tier opponents.
Rank Team Topside Conf GP W L T
1
DUKE AP: 5
14.13 Atlantic Coast Conference 2 2 0 0
2
UVA
13.81 Atlantic Coast Conference 3 3 0 0
3
CAL
13.61 Atlantic Coast Conference 2 2 0 0
4
VT
13.26 Atlantic Coast Conference 2 2 0 0
5
MIA
13.25 Atlantic Coast Conference 3 3 0 0
6
SMU
13.12 Atlantic Coast Conference 2 2 0 0
7
CLEM
13.07 Atlantic Coast Conference 3 3 0 0
8
FSU
12.80 Atlantic Coast Conference 2 2 0 0
9
STAN
12.70 Atlantic Coast Conference 2 1 1 0
10
LOU AP: 7
12.51 Atlantic Coast Conference 3 3 0 0
11
PITT
12.46 Atlantic Coast Conference 2 2 0 0
12
WAKE
12.01 Atlantic Coast Conference 3 3 0 0
13
SYR
11.45 Atlantic Coast Conference 2 2 0 0
14
ND AP: 13
11.21 Atlantic Coast Conference 2 2 0 0
15
NCSU
11.08 Atlantic Coast Conference 3 2 1 0
16
UNC AP: 23
9.77 Atlantic Coast Conference 2 0 2 0
17
GT
9.74 Atlantic Coast Conference 3 2 1 0
18
BC
7.10 Atlantic Coast Conference 2 0 2 0

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