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Match Predictor

NFL-only projections using NflEngine Topside & Elo

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New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, Odds & Analytics | Topside
Conference
Division

Predicted via Elo Model

New England Patriots 1510.1 Elo 10.73 Topside
vs
Miami Dolphins 1448.5 Elo 8.79 Topside
NE 56.8% Draw 3.3% MIA 39.9%
Home win Draw Away win

Tale of the Tape

NE vs MIA · current season

NE

Metric

MIA

1 Win
Head-to-Head · This Season
0
  • NE 24
    Nov 1
    19 MIA
5-4
Record
1-7
10.73
Topside
8.79
1510
Elo
1449
23.4
Avg Points For
15.8
23.0
Avg Points Against
25.0
W W L W L
Last 5
L L W L L

⚡ Upcoming Fixtures with Greatest Model Variation — NFL

Ranked by the largest Topside vs. Elo probability gap (biggest disagreement first). Next 10 days · NFL.

  • TEN vs JAX

    Sun, Nov 15 · 18:00 NFL

    ⚠️ Slight Difference (8% Delta)

    Both models favor JAX, but Topside gives them 68.7% while Elo gives them 60.6%.

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  • NYG vs JAX

    Sun, Nov 22 · 18:00 NFL

    ⚠️ Slight Difference (8% Delta)

    Both models favor JAX, but Topside gives them 59.0% while Elo gives them 51.3%.

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  • WSH vs CIN

    Tue, Nov 24 · 01:15 NFL

    🔒 Total Agreement (7% Delta)

    Both models favor CIN, but Topside gives them 61.9% while Elo gives them 55.1%.

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  • PHI vs PIT

    Sun, Nov 22 · 21:25 NFL

    🔒 Total Agreement (5% Delta)

    Both models favor PIT, but Topside gives them 65.4% while Elo gives them 60.4%.

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  • DAL vs SF

    Sun, Nov 15 · 21:25 NFL

    🔒 Total Agreement (5% Delta)

    Both models favor SF, but Topside gives them 62.2% while Elo gives them 57.2%.

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  • DET vs TB

    Sun, Nov 22 · 18:00 NFL

    🔒 Total Agreement (5% Delta)

    Both models favor DET, but Topside gives them 51.8% while Elo gives them 56.7%.

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  • LAC vs NYJ

    Sun, Nov 22 · 21:05 NFL

    🔒 Total Agreement (4% Delta)

    Both models favor NYJ, but Topside gives them 55.2% while Elo gives them 51.6%.

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  • CAR vs BAL

    Sun, Nov 22 · 18:00 NFL

    🚨 Model Flip (Different Winners)

    Topside backs CAR (50.4%), but Elo backs BAL (49.2%).

    Insight: The models are completely split. Topside trusts the recent dominance of CAR, but Elo trusts the historical results of BAL.

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  • KC vs ARI

    Sun, Nov 22 · 18:00 NFL

    🔒 Total Agreement (3% Delta)

    Both models favor KC, but Topside gives them 59.7% while Elo gives them 56.4%.

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  • DAL vs TEN

    Sun, Nov 22 · 18:00 NFL

    🔒 Total Agreement (3% Delta)

    Both models favor DAL, but Topside gives them 57.3% while Elo gives them 54.0%.

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  • ARI vs LAR

    Sun, Nov 15 · 21:05 NFL

    🔒 Total Agreement (3% Delta)

    Both models favor LAR, but Topside gives them 56.3% while Elo gives them 53.1%.

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  • DET vs NE

    Sun, Nov 15 · 14:30 NFL

    🔒 Total Agreement (3% Delta)

    Both models favor DET, but Topside gives them 48.9% while Elo gives them 52.0%.

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  • CHI vs NO

    Sun, Nov 22 · 18:00 NFL

    🔒 Total Agreement (3% Delta)

    Both models favor CHI, but Topside gives them 59.8% while Elo gives them 56.7%.

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  • BUF vs MIA

    Sun, Nov 22 · 18:00 NFL

    🔒 Total Agreement (3% Delta)

    Both models favor BUF, but Topside gives them 65.7% while Elo gives them 63.1%.

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  • NO vs CAR

    Sun, Nov 15 · 18:00 NFL

    🚨 Model Flip (Different Winners)

    Topside backs CAR (49.8%), but Elo backs NO (48.8%).

    Insight: The models are completely split. Topside trusts the recent dominance of CAR, but Elo trusts the historical results of NO.

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